Blantyre, Malawi

May 30, 2025

Ralph Chienda

The Effects of Forex Shortage On Sugar Production Output

Five years ago, Malawi recorded the highest forex import cover of 6 months. This resulted in abundant forex availability for procurement of medical, transport, and plant machinery. Today, we are running less than a month’s cover, and one has to be on the que for months and months to access the rationed forex.

The sugar industry, particularly in developing economies, heavily depends on imported machinery and spare parts for continuous production and maintenance. A shortage of foreign exchange (forex) can severely impact the procurement of these essential components.

This paper explores the multifaceted effects of forex shortages on the operational efficiency, costs, and sustainability of sugar industry production plants.

Delayed Procurement of Spare Parts;

The inability to access sufficient forex restricts the timely payment to international suppliers. This results in shipping delays and extended lead times, which directly impact plant operations. As a result, due to the low production of that particular product, there will be less supply, and the high demand will spike the prices.

Customs and Clearance Delays;

Even when spare parts arrive in the destination country, the lack of forex to pay for import duties and taxes can stall customs clearance, further delaying availability.

Increased Production Downtime Delays;

Delays in receiving critical spare parts lead to prolonged equipment breakdowns. Consequently, production processes are halted, reducing overall plant uptime and efficiency.

Higher Operational Costs Forex shortages;

Often drive companies to procure spares through local intermediaries or black markets at inflated prices. Emergency procurement due to unexpected breakdowns adds to the financial burden.

Reduced Production Capacity;

Without timely maintenance and replacement of worn-out parts, plants may operate below optimal capacity. In seasonal industries like sugar, this can result in missed harvesting and processing windows.

Inefficient Inventory Management;

To mitigate the risk of procurement delays, companies may overstock critical spare parts, tying up capital in inventory. Over time, these parts may become obsolete, leading to wastage.

Inconsistent or delayed payments due to forex constraints;

This damages relationships with foreign suppliers. Suppliers may reduce credit terms or stop supplying altogether.

Limited Access to New Technology;

Forex shortages can prevent the import of newer, more efficient technologies. This leads to prolonged reliance on outdated equipment with higher maintenance needs.

The shortage of foreign exchange critically has hampered the procurement of spare parts in the sugar industry and others in Malawi, affecting not only day-to-day operations but also long-term productivity and competitiveness.

Strategic interventions, such as government forex allocation policies, improved local manufacturing capabilities, and supplier diversification, are essential to mitigate these effects.

This paper recommends establishing strategic partnerships with local or regional suppliers.

  • Advocate for government policies that prioritize forex allocation for essential industries.
  • Invest in predictive maintenance and inventory optimization technologies.
  • Explore local manufacturing or refurbishment options for common spare parts.

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